Prediction of Corentin Denolly vs Marc Van Der Merwe at M25 Kigali 10-09-25

Wojtek Kolan
Published on 08 Oct at 09:39 PM UTC
HEAD TO HEAD
C. Denolly vs M. Van Der Merwe

FRA
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RSA
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C. Denolly Vs M. V. D. Merwe Picks
Based on the implied probability from the match winner, Corentin Denolly has a 70.4% chance to get the victory.
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Match | Bookie Prediction | Bookie Odds |
---|---|---|
M. V. D. Merwe | 29.6% | 3.21 |
C. Denolly | 70.4% | 1.35 |
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Market | Bookie Prediction | Bookie Odds |
---|---|---|
Over 20 | 57.14% | 1.75 |
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Head-to-head: Denolly 0 - 0 Merwe
Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
---|---|
Denolly | 0 |
Merwe | 0 |
Last 0 H2H Matches:
no past h2h happened.
C. Denolly Vs M. V. D. Merwe Best Odds
1x2
Games O/U
C. Denolly vs M. V. D. Merwe H2H Profile
Stats | ||
---|---|---|
$56,935 | Career Prize Money | $0 |
62.08% (424-259) | Career Total W/L | 74.19% (23-8) |
12 | Titles | 0 |
50.00% (1-1) | YTD Win/Loss | 0% (0-0) |
C. Denolly vs M. V. D. Merwe Match Preview:
- Second Serve Efficiency: Corentin Denolly has won 42.48% of second serve points, slightly trailing Marc Van Der Merwe's 42.73%. How crucial is this for determining match outcomes? Typically, it's quite indicative.
- Return Game Performance: In recent form, Denolly excels with a 50.28% win rate on opponents' second serves, outperforming Van Der Merwe's 43.54%. However, Van Der Merwe edges Denolly on first serve returns, 32.70% to 30.61%.
- Breakpoint Resilience: When under pressure, Marc Van Der Merwe saves 51.35% of breakpoints, marginally better than Denolly's 51.05%, which is important for in-game betting insights.
- Overall Match Wins: Over the past year, Van Der Merwe dominates with a 75.00% win rate compared to Denolly’s 50.88%, showing a strong overall form.
- Surface Performance: Both have their best win rates on clay, each with 65%. Denolly struggles on grass, while Van Der Merwe's weakest surface is hard courts with a 73% win rate.
- Event Level Experience: Marc Van Der Merwe wins 75.00% of his matches at the Futures level, whereas Denolly wins 38.24% at the Challenger level. Does experience at different event levels impact predictions? It certainly can.
- Opponent Ranking: Denolly has faced opponents with an average rank of 327.96, while Van Der Merwe has battled higher-ranked players, averaging 165.7.
- Deciding Set Success: Should the match go to a deciding set, Van Der Merwe has an 83% success rate, surpassing Denolly’s 59%.
Editorial Prediction (October 8, 2025, UTC):
The upcoming match between Corentin Denolly and Marc Van Der Merwe promises to be riveting, with both players showcasing distinct strengths and challenges. A key stat to watch is their performance on second serves, where Van Der Merwe holds a marginal advantage.
Denolly has proven more effective in winning points off opponents’ second serves. However, Van Der Merwe's robust record in first serve returns could offer him an upper hand. When it comes to playing under pressure, Van Der Merwe slightly edges Denolly, which might be crucial in tight situations.
Given Van Der Merwe’s higher success rate in matches over the past year and his strong performances against higher-ranked players, he appears better equipped to handle the competitive intensity of this matchup. Furthermore, his track record in deciding sets suggests he has the resilience to maintain composure and win pivotal points.
Considering these factors, Marc Van Der Merwe is the likely winner in this encounter.
Corentin Denolly vs Marc Van Der Merwe Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
C. Denolly Vs M. V. D. Merwe Current Event Stats
Stats | ||
---|---|---|
1 | Matches Played | 1 |
0:55:58 | Last Match Time | 2:56:33 |
0:55:58 | Total Time | 2:56:33 |
0% (0/0) | Break Points Saved | 55% (6/11) |
100% (7/7) | Service Hold % | 69% (11/16) |
29% (2/7) | Opponent Hold % | 69% (11/16) |
0% (0/0) | Tiebreak Win % | 0% (0/1) |
0% (0/0) | Deciding Set Win % | 0% (0/1) |
0.00 | Tiebreaks Per Match | 1.00 |
Currently displayed stats include matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer. Who do you back to make it through to the next round? We have predictions for every match in M25 Kigali.
Recent Performance Stats
C. Denolly Recent Matches Played
M. V. D. Merwe Recent Matches Played
Where To Watch Denolly vs Merwe?
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C. Denolly vs M. V. D. Merwe Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
Stats | ||
---|---|---|
65.17% (305/163) | YTD Win/Loss | 100.00% (1/0) |
62.10% (662/404) | Sets Win/Loss | 66.67% (2/1) |
54.83% (5376/4429) | Games Win/Loss | 51.52% (17/16) |
0.24 | Aces Per Game | 0 |
1153 | Aces Total | 0 |
0.31 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.13 |
1465 | Total Double Faults | 2 |
1:33:31 | Average Match Time | 2:56:33 |
495.4 | Average Opponent Rank | 0 |
65% (19317/29885) | 1st Serve % | 76% (83/109) |
66% (12797/19317) | 1st Serve Win % | 64% (53/83) |
48% (5090/10569) | 2nd Serve Win % | 50% (13/26) |
47% (1709/3644) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 38% (5/13) |
44% (13553/30577) | Return Points Win % | 43% (50/116) |
66% (304/463) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 100% (1/1) |
59% (65/111) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 100% (1/1) |
61% (82/135) | Deciding Set Win % | 100% (1/1) |
92% (291/267) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 0% (0/0) |
8% (291/24) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/0) |
21% (177/38) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 100% (1/1) |
Other Tennis Predictions Today
Potential H2H Matches This Week
Denolly (M25 Kigali)
Merwe (M25 Kigali)
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